[Policy Proposal] Japan's Economic Security in the New Era: Surviving an Era of Rising Uncertainty

Overview

A policy proposal document published by the Nakasone Peace Institute titled "[Policy Proposal] Japan's Economic Security in the New Era: Surviving an Era of Rising Uncertainty." It presents a comprehensive strategy for Japan to ensure economic security while achieving sustainable growth during this historic turning point in international order. ## Key Points ### 1. Proposal Overview - **Issuing Organization**: Nakasone Peace Institute (Public Interest Foundation) - **Publication Date**: July 1, 2025 (announced June 30) - **Number of Proposals**: 9 specific policy recommendations - **Basic Philosophy**: Maintaining and strengthening a free and open international economic order - **Objective**: Establishing Japan's economic security in an era of uncertainty ### 2. Current International Situation Assessment - **Historic Turning Point**: - Structuralization and prolongation of US-China confrontation - Integration of economics and security - Intensification of technology hegemony competition - Normalization of geopolitical risks - **New Challenges**: - Rise and expanding influence of the Global South - Challenges to international rules-based order - Weaponization of economic coercion - Exposure of supply chain vulnerabilities ### 3. Nine Policy Proposals #### Proposal 1: Strengthening Information and Technology Leakage Prevention - **Building Public-Private Partnership System**: - Establishing information sharing platforms - Full operation of security clearance system - Supporting voluntary corporate initiatives - **Promoting International Cooperation**: - Strengthening information sharing with like-minded countries - Developing common standards - Utilizing multilateral frameworks #### Proposal 2: Strategic Management of Inward and Outward Investment - **Monitoring System**: - Real-time surveillance system - AI-powered risk analysis - Early warning mechanisms - **Strengthening Review System**: - Clarification of critical sectors - Enhancement of pre and post-review - Expansion of enforcement system #### Proposal 3: Supply Chain Resilience - **Identification of Critical Materials**: - Semiconductors, rare earths, etc. - Pharmaceuticals and medical devices - Energy-related materials - **Diversification Strategy**: - Diversifying procurement sources - Strengthening cooperation with friendly nations - Supporting domestic production return #### Proposal 4: Leadership in Advanced Technologies - **AI and Quantum Technology**: - Significant expansion of R&D investment - Deepening industry-academia-government collaboration - Leading involvement in international standardization - **Human Resource Development**: - Strengthening STEM education - Securing and retaining advanced talent - International talent exchange #### Proposal 5: Promoting Domestic Production of Defense Equipment - **R&D Capabilities**: - Strengthening fundamental technologies - Promoting utilization of civilian technologies - Long-term perspective investment - **Defense Industrial Base**: - Supply chain strengthening - Promoting SME participation - Balancing with export controls #### Proposal 6: Strengthening Space and Cyber Domains - **Urgent Human Resource Development**: - Expanding specialized education programs - Establishing practical training environments - Establishing career paths - **Capability Building**: - Improving attack response capabilities - Strengthening international cooperation - Deepening cooperation with private sector #### Proposal 7: Maintaining and Developing International Economic Order - **Rule Formation**: - Contributing to WTO reform - Leading new field rule-making - Promoting regional economic integration - **Economic Diplomacy**: - Developing values-based diplomacy - Expanding economic security dialogues - Multi-layered partnerships #### Proposal 8: Strategic Response to Development Needs - **Quality Infrastructure**: - Leveraging Japan's strengths - Emphasizing green and digital fields - Responding to local needs - **Utilizing Public Finance**: - Strengthening functions of JICA, JBIC, etc. - Collaboration with private funds - Risk money supply #### Proposal 9: Establishing Comprehensive Promotion System - **Command Center Function**: - Expanding National Security Bureau functions - Utilizing Economic Security Promotion Council - Strengthening cross-ministerial coordination - **Public-Private Cooperation**: - Regular dialogue mechanisms - Institutionalizing information sharing - Building joint response systems ### 4. Basic Principles in Implementation - **Respecting Market Mechanisms**: - Necessary intervention while maintaining free competition - Maximum utilization of private sector vitality - Minimizing regulations - **International Cooperation**: - Strengthening cooperation with like-minded countries - Compliance with international rules - Maintaining open stance ### 5. Sector-Specific Approaches #### Semiconductors and Advanced Technologies - Strengthening Japan-US-Korea-Taiwan cooperation - Concentrated investment in next-generation technology development - National strategy for human resource development and retention #### Energy Security - Expanding renewable energy - Strategic utilization of nuclear power - Efforts toward hydrogen society realization #### Food Security - Strengthening domestic production base - Diversifying import sources - Promoting smart agriculture ### 6. Regional Strategies - **US Relations**: Balancing alliance deepening and autonomy - **China Relations**: Distinguishing constructive engagement and vigilance - **ASEAN**: Supporting regional centrality - **Europe**: Values-based cooperation - **Global South**: Inclusive approach ### 7. Risk Management Framework - **Early Warning System**: - Economic security dashboard - Regular scenario analysis - Introduction of stress tests - **Crisis Response System**: - Emergency response manual - Clarification of command structure - Conducting training and exercises ### 8. Implementation Schedule - **Short-term (within 1 year)**: - Completion of critical technology identification - Establishment of public-private consultation bodies - Implementation of initial measures - **Medium-term (3 years)**: - Establishment of major systems - Building international frameworks - Initial evaluation of results - **Long-term (5-10 years)**: - System establishment and deepening - Responding to new challenges - Continuous improvement ### 9. Success Indicators (KPIs) - **Quantitative Indicators**: - Domestic procurement rate of critical materials - Number of patents in advanced technology fields - Cyber attack response capability - **Qualitative Indicators**: - International presence - Depth of alliances and partnerships - Degree of economic autonomy ### 10. Future Outlook This proposal presents a comprehensive roadmap for Japan to contribute to maintaining a free and open international order while ensuring its own economic security. In an increasingly uncertain international environment, it aims to achieve both sustainable growth and security through a strategic approach that leverages Japan's strengths while deepening cooperation with countries that share common values.

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A policy proposal document published by the Nakasone Peace Institute titled "[Policy Proposal] Japan's Economic Security in the New Era: Surviving an Era of Rising Uncertainty." It presents a comprehensive strategy for Japan to ensure economic security while achieving sustainable growth during this historic turning point in international order.

Key Points

1. Proposal Overview

  • Issuing Organization: Nakasone Peace Institute (Public Interest Foundation)
  • Publication Date: July 1, 2025 (announced June 30)
  • Number of Proposals: 9 specific policy recommendations
  • Basic Philosophy: Maintaining and strengthening a free and open international economic order
  • Objective: Establishing Japan's economic security in an era of uncertainty

2. Current International Situation Assessment

  • Historic Turning Point:
    • Structuralization and prolongation of US-China confrontation
    • Integration of economics and security
    • Intensification of technology hegemony competition
    • Normalization of geopolitical risks
  • New Challenges:
    • Rise and expanding influence of the Global South
    • Challenges to international rules-based order
    • Weaponization of economic coercion
    • Exposure of supply chain vulnerabilities

3. Nine Policy Proposals

Proposal 1: Strengthening Information and Technology Leakage Prevention

  • Building Public-Private Partnership System:
    • Establishing information sharing platforms
    • Full operation of security clearance system
    • Supporting voluntary corporate initiatives
  • Promoting International Cooperation:
    • Strengthening information sharing with like-minded countries
    • Developing common standards
    • Utilizing multilateral frameworks

Proposal 2: Strategic Management of Inward and Outward Investment

  • Monitoring System:
    • Real-time surveillance system
    • AI-powered risk analysis
    • Early warning mechanisms
  • Strengthening Review System:
    • Clarification of critical sectors
    • Enhancement of pre and post-review
    • Expansion of enforcement system

Proposal 3: Supply Chain Resilience

  • Identification of Critical Materials:
    • Semiconductors, rare earths, etc.
    • Pharmaceuticals and medical devices
    • Energy-related materials
  • Diversification Strategy:
    • Diversifying procurement sources
    • Strengthening cooperation with friendly nations
    • Supporting domestic production return

Proposal 4: Leadership in Advanced Technologies

  • AI and Quantum Technology:
    • Significant expansion of R&D investment
    • Deepening industry-academia-government collaboration
    • Leading involvement in international standardization
  • Human Resource Development:
    • Strengthening STEM education
    • Securing and retaining advanced talent
    • International talent exchange

Proposal 5: Promoting Domestic Production of Defense Equipment

  • R&D Capabilities:
    • Strengthening fundamental technologies
    • Promoting utilization of civilian technologies
    • Long-term perspective investment
  • Defense Industrial Base:
    • Supply chain strengthening
    • Promoting SME participation
    • Balancing with export controls

Proposal 6: Strengthening Space and Cyber Domains

  • Urgent Human Resource Development:
    • Expanding specialized education programs
    • Establishing practical training environments
    • Establishing career paths
  • Capability Building:
    • Improving attack response capabilities
    • Strengthening international cooperation
    • Deepening cooperation with private sector

Proposal 7: Maintaining and Developing International Economic Order

  • Rule Formation:
    • Contributing to WTO reform
    • Leading new field rule-making
    • Promoting regional economic integration
  • Economic Diplomacy:
    • Developing values-based diplomacy
    • Expanding economic security dialogues
    • Multi-layered partnerships

Proposal 8: Strategic Response to Development Needs

  • Quality Infrastructure:
    • Leveraging Japan's strengths
    • Emphasizing green and digital fields
    • Responding to local needs
  • Utilizing Public Finance:
    • Strengthening functions of JICA, JBIC, etc.
    • Collaboration with private funds
    • Risk money supply

Proposal 9: Establishing Comprehensive Promotion System

  • Command Center Function:
    • Expanding National Security Bureau functions
    • Utilizing Economic Security Promotion Council
    • Strengthening cross-ministerial coordination
  • Public-Private Cooperation:
    • Regular dialogue mechanisms
    • Institutionalizing information sharing
    • Building joint response systems

4. Basic Principles in Implementation

  • Respecting Market Mechanisms:
    • Necessary intervention while maintaining free competition
    • Maximum utilization of private sector vitality
    • Minimizing regulations
  • International Cooperation:
    • Strengthening cooperation with like-minded countries
    • Compliance with international rules
    • Maintaining open stance

5. Sector-Specific Approaches

Semiconductors and Advanced Technologies

  • Strengthening Japan-US-Korea-Taiwan cooperation
  • Concentrated investment in next-generation technology development
  • National strategy for human resource development and retention

Energy Security

  • Expanding renewable energy
  • Strategic utilization of nuclear power
  • Efforts toward hydrogen society realization

Food Security

  • Strengthening domestic production base
  • Diversifying import sources
  • Promoting smart agriculture

6. Regional Strategies

  • US Relations: Balancing alliance deepening and autonomy
  • China Relations: Distinguishing constructive engagement and vigilance
  • ASEAN: Supporting regional centrality
  • Europe: Values-based cooperation
  • Global South: Inclusive approach

7. Risk Management Framework

  • Early Warning System:
    • Economic security dashboard
    • Regular scenario analysis
    • Introduction of stress tests
  • Crisis Response System:
    • Emergency response manual
    • Clarification of command structure
    • Conducting training and exercises

8. Implementation Schedule

  • Short-term (within 1 year):
    • Completion of critical technology identification
    • Establishment of public-private consultation bodies
    • Implementation of initial measures
  • Medium-term (3 years):
    • Establishment of major systems
    • Building international frameworks
    • Initial evaluation of results
  • Long-term (5-10 years):
    • System establishment and deepening
    • Responding to new challenges
    • Continuous improvement

9. Success Indicators (KPIs)

  • Quantitative Indicators:
    • Domestic procurement rate of critical materials
    • Number of patents in advanced technology fields
    • Cyber attack response capability
  • Qualitative Indicators:
    • International presence
    • Depth of alliances and partnerships
    • Degree of economic autonomy

10. Future Outlook

This proposal presents a comprehensive roadmap for Japan to contribute to maintaining a free and open international order while ensuring its own economic security. In an increasingly uncertain international environment, it aims to achieve both sustainable growth and security through a strategic approach that leverages Japan's strengths while deepening cooperation with countries that share common values.

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