Using the "Reiwa Rice Riots" as an Opportunity to Accelerate the Transition to Climate-Resilient Agriculture: Economist Column No.2025-026

Overview

A column proposing the transition to climate-resilient agriculture triggered by the 2025 rice shortage. ## Key Points ### 1. Reality of the "Reiwa Rice Riots" - 2025 rice harvest: 7.4 million tons (-15% from normal year, third worst postwar crop failure) - Causes: Record heat (July-August average temperature 30.2°C) and water shortage - Rice price surge: 18,000 yen per 60kg (+45% YoY) - Emergency rice imports: 500,000 tons (largest scale ever) ### 2. Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture - Heat damage: First-grade rice ratio 45% (historic low, normal 70%) - Pest damage: Brown planthopper damage area 3.2 times previous year - Water resources: Western Japan dam storage rate 58% (-20 points from normal) - Northward shift of suitable areas: Rice cultivation suitable areas shifted 100km north in 10 years ### 3. Specific Measures for Transition - Variety improvement: Accelerating development of heat-resistant varieties (target 30% adoption rate for "Niji no Kirameki") - Smart agriculture: 30% water reduction through AI water management - Crop conversion: Support for switching to heat-adapted crops (olives, avocados) - Infrastructure development: Investment in drought-resistant irrigation systems (3 trillion yen over 10 years) The article recommends treating this rice shortage not as a temporary problem but as a turning point toward sustainable agriculture.

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A column proposing the transition to climate-resilient agriculture triggered by the 2025 rice shortage.

Key Points

1. Reality of the "Reiwa Rice Riots"

  • 2025 rice harvest: 7.4 million tons (-15% from normal year, third worst postwar crop failure)
  • Causes: Record heat (July-August average temperature 30.2°C) and water shortage
  • Rice price surge: 18,000 yen per 60kg (+45% YoY)
  • Emergency rice imports: 500,000 tons (largest scale ever)

2. Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture

  • Heat damage: First-grade rice ratio 45% (historic low, normal 70%)
  • Pest damage: Brown planthopper damage area 3.2 times previous year
  • Water resources: Western Japan dam storage rate 58% (-20 points from normal)
  • Northward shift of suitable areas: Rice cultivation suitable areas shifted 100km north in 10 years

3. Specific Measures for Transition

  • Variety improvement: Accelerating development of heat-resistant varieties (target 30% adoption rate for "Niji no Kirameki")
  • Smart agriculture: 30% water reduction through AI water management
  • Crop conversion: Support for switching to heat-adapted crops (olives, avocados)
  • Infrastructure development: Investment in drought-resistant irrigation systems (3 trillion yen over 10 years)

The article recommends treating this rice shortage not as a temporary problem but as a turning point toward sustainable agriculture.

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