Complexity of the Syrian Conflict
Research report published in the Middle East Review by the Institute of Developing Economies. This comprehensive analysis examines the internationalization process of the Syrian civil war that began in 2011 and its spillover effects throughout the Middle East region.
Multi-polarization of the Conflict
Structure of Domestic Opposition: Complex relationships among diverse actors including the Assad regime, anti-government armed groups, Kurdish forces, and ISIS. The report details the compound interactions between sectarian/ethnic factors and political interests.
Foreign Intervention: Support for the Assad regime by Russia and Iran versus support for opposition forces by the US, Turkey, and Gulf states. Analysis of the expanding proxy war aspects and competition among regional powers.
Humanitarian Crisis and Refugee Issues
Internally Displaced Persons: Large-scale internal displacement caused by the civil war and destruction of domestic infrastructure. Discussion of the collapse of healthcare and education systems and difficulties in humanitarian assistance.
Regional Refugee Outflow: Refugee flows to neighboring countries including Turkey, Lebanon, and Jordan, and the social/economic burden on host countries. Detailed examination of international burden-sharing and support systems.
Impact on Regional Order
The report examines the long-term effects of the Syrian conflict on the existing Middle Eastern order and challenges in post-war reconstruction.