Economic Trend Index: Releases, Series, Criteria, and Archive

Overview

This page compiles Cabinet Office information on the Economic Trend Index. Notices include the 22nd Economic Trend Index Research Committee meeting, changes to the CI base year, figures after the 13th revision starting with the January 2021 preliminary release, and a consumer sentiment questionnaire (trial). It presents the June 2026 preliminary release, figures for long-term and individual series, individual-series contributions to the CI, criteria for trend assessment, and comparisons of old and new seasonal adjustment models. Preliminary and revised materials from 2021 through 2026 are organized as an archive overview. The contact is the Economic Statistics Division of the Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office.

This summary was automatically generated by AI. Please refer to the original article for accuracy.

Key points

  • The page provides notices, preliminary releases, series, criteria for trend assessment, and an archive overview concerning the Economic Trend Index.
  • The June 2026 preliminary release and series updated on August 7, 2026, are provided.
  • Starting with the January 2021 preliminary release, the figures reflect the 13th revision.
  • Preliminary and revised materials from 2021 through 2026 are organized by year and month as an archive overview.

Overview

This page is organized into notices, preliminary releases, series, criteria for trend assessment, comparisons of old and new seasonal adjustment models, an archive overview list, and contact information. The notices include “The 22nd Economic Trend Index Research Committee Meeting Was Held” (July 23, 2026), “Changes to the CI Base Year in the Economic Trend Index” (June 26, 2023), guidance on figures after the 13th revision (March 8, 2021), and guidance on the consumer sentiment questionnaire (trial).

In the preliminary release section, the “Overview” and “Preliminary Release Materials” for the June 2026 preliminary release are shown as of August 7, 2026. The series section was also updated on the same date and provides long-term series, figures for individual series, and individual-series contributions to the CI. Thus, materials for the latest month’s preliminary release and materials for continuously checking the index and series are classified as information published for the same Economic Trend Index.

The archive overview is organized under the original heading “Archive Overview (13th Revision).” The covered years are 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, and 2021, and each annual table has the headings “Month,” “Preliminary Release,” and “Revision.” The preliminary release column contains monthly overviews and preliminary release materials, while the revision column contains monthly revised materials.

Details

Under the series section, “Long-Term Series” provides “Long-Term Series (CI, DI, and Cumulative DI)” in Excel format. “Figures for Individual Series” is divided into leading, coincident, and lagging series, with an Excel file provided for each. In addition, “Individual-Series Contributions to the CI” is also presented separately for leading, coincident, and lagging series. Through the document categories of long-term series, figures for individual series, and contributions, the series composing the Economic Trend Index and individual-series contributions to the CI are published separately.

“Criteria for Trend Assessment” is provided in PDF format and dated May 12, 2026. Two items are provided for the comparison of old and new seasonal adjustment models. The material dated March 9, 2026, covers “L10 Investment Environment Index (Manufacturing)” and “Lg5 Corporate Tax Revenue,” while the material dated March 25, 2026, covers “C4 Labor Input Index (Total Surveyed Industries).” The original text identifies these material titles, covered series, and publication dates.

The 2026 archive overview lists monthly materials from January through May, with an overview, preliminary release materials, and a revision for each month. For 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, and 2021, monthly materials from January through December are provided, with an overview, preliminary release materials, and a revision for each month. In other words, the list contains January through May for 2026 and 12 months each for the other five covered years.

The notices explicitly state, “Starting with the January 2021 preliminary release, the figures reflect the 13th revision.” This indicates on the page that figures from the January 2021 preliminary release onward are figures after the 13th revision. However, the original text does not specify what was changed by the 13th revision or provide the index values themselves for each month.

The contact is listed as the Economic Statistics Division, Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office, and the telephone number is 03-6257-1627 (direct dial). The page states, “For inquiries about the Economic Trend Index, please contact us here.” The responsible division and telephone number are specified as the contact for questions about the published materials.

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