Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Corporate Tax Reform in Japan (2015-2018)

This research provides empirical analysis of the effects of Japan's corporate tax reform (growth-oriented corporate tax reform) implemented in phases from 2015-2018, using National Tax Agency corporate tax return data. The study examines the impact of corporate income tax rate reductions, loss carryforward deduction limitations, and additional value-added/capital taxation on growth company tax burdens.

Reform Content and Objectives:

  • Corporate income tax rate reductions
  • Loss carryforward deduction limitations
  • Expansion of external standard taxation (value-added/capital additional taxation)
  • Review of special tax measures
  • Tax base expansion under revenue neutrality assumption

Analysis Methodology: Effective Tax Rate (ETR) decomposed into the following components for analysis:

  • Corporate income tax before special deductions / income
  • Special deductions / income (investment tax credits, R&D tax credits, wage increase tax system, etc.)
  • External standard taxation / pre-tax profit
  • Income / pre-tax profit (tax base)

Major Analysis Results:

  1. Large company ETR (average) increased post-reform (exceptionally decreased in FY2020)
  2. Tax base expansion effects exceeded tax rate reduction effects
  3. Special deduction utilization became difficult, reducing negative factors
  4. High-growth company ETRs declined slightly in FY2015-2017 but followed average trends from FY2018 onward

Policy Implications:

  • Reform was not designed as targeted tax burden reduction for growth companies
  • Tax rate reductions provided tax reduction effects beyond growth companies
  • Special tax measures were not changed to preferential measures for high-growth companies
  • External standard taxation expansion did not contribute to long-term growth company tax burden reduction

Future Challenges: From the perspective of long-term growth company preference, appropriate targeting through special tax measures is necessary. More strategic system design is required to achieve macroeconomic growth contribution through growth company tax burden reduction.

※ This summary was automatically generated by AI. Please refer to the original article for accuracy.